Quantatative data sources on the effects of the recession

This research identifies a range of existing data sources that provide information on the impact of the economic downturn on the third sector.

Using these data, researchers have developed a range of quantitative indicators that measure observed change in the sector and forecast and anticipate future impacts as a result of the recession.

The aim of this research is to provide quantitative evidence as to the emerging impact of the recession and its possible impact on the Third Sector.

To do this we have explored the characteristics of the recession (State of the Economy), the emerging trends in the Third Sector and undertaken multivariate statistical analysis to explore whether different variables can be used to identify financial variability.

In the brief for this research project, Capacitybuilders highlighted their need to identify those areas in the Third Sector which are being hardest hit by the recession, and to use this evidence to better direct government support. This recognises that some sectors maybe worse off than others.

The research finds that the number of organisational “deaths” (leaving the Charity Commission and the other Third Sector registrars) has risen rapidly over the last two quarters, something which has not occurred to the same extent in any recession since the creation of the Charity Commission.

More information on the research is available at the Improving Support website.